Polls signal midterm trouble for Trump as economic and foreign policy concerns grow

Aggregate data from RealClearPolitics indicates a job approval rating of just 38.2 percent for President Trump, with 57 percent of likely voters stating that current policies have left them financially worse off.

Rising inflation, driven by sharp increases in fuel costs—where petrol averages $4.28 per gallon and diesel reaches $6.28—has heavily impacted household budgets alongside broader trade tariffs.

Non-partisan analysts, including the Cook Political Report, project that Democrats are poised to gain a House majority, estimating up to 220 seats with 17 remaining toss-ups.

CBS News similarly projects potential Democratic gains reaching 229 seats, though analysts note a narrow path remains for Republicans due to undecided voters leaning conservative.

In the 100-member Senate, where 35 seats are contested this cycle, current polling suggests a highly competitive outcome, with projections leaning toward a tight Democratic majority.

Faced with declining polling numbers even in traditional party strongholds, President Trump has concentrated his campaign efforts on reliably conservative states he won in 2024, including recent stops in Mississippi, Michigan, Florida, and Iowa, alongside upcoming events in Texas.

Meanwhile, early voting figures indicate strong civic participation, with nearly 30 million ballots already cast nationwide through postal and early in-person voting ahead of election day.