Jharkhand Elections: Exit Polls predict close contest in Jamshedpur East and West

Jamshedpur, Nov 21:  The BJP and its allies will likely emerge victorious in the Jharkhand assembly election, according to four exit polls. One exit poll forecast a win by the alliance comprising Chief Minister Hemant Soren’s Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM).

The second and final phase of the Jharkhand Assembly elections concluded on November 20, with exit polls revealing a tight race in key constituencies, particularly Jamshedpur East and Jamshedpur West. Agencies refrained from clear predictions for these seats, citing a close contest. One agency, however, tipped JDU for a potential win in Jamshedpur West.

According to the Aaj Tak-C Voter exit poll, a close contest is expected in 20 constituencies across Jharkhand. Of Kolhan’s 14 seats, the survey forecasts NDA winning 2, the INDIA bloc 5, and a tight race on the remaining 7, including Jamshedpur East and West.

For Chotanagpur, NDA is predicted to win 14 seats, with the INDIA bloc taking 6, according to C Voter.

Palamu may see NDA bagging 7 seats, while the India Alliance gets 2. In Santhal, the survey shows NDA with 6 seats and the India Alliance leading with 10, leaving 20 seats open to fierce competition.  

NDA leads most Exit Polls

Exit polls predict a tough battle between the NDA and the INDIA bloc, with the NDA leading in most projections.

• P-Marq: Predicts INDIA bloc securing 37-47 seats, NDA 31-40, and no seats for others.
• Chanakya Strategies: Estimates NDA winning 45-50 seats, INDIA bloc 35-38, and others 3-5 seats.
• Matrize: Forecasts NDA taking 42-47 seats, INDIA bloc 25-30, and others 1-4 seats.
• Axis My India: INDIA bloc projected to win 53 seats, NDA 25, JKLM 2, and others 1.
• Times Now JVC: Predicts NDA with 40-44 seats, INDIA bloc 30-40, and others 1 seat.
• People’s Pulse: Suggests NDA will secure 44-53 seats, INDIA bloc 25-37, and others 5-9.
• Poll of Polls: Averages show NDA leading with 40-45 seats, INDIA bloc 27-32, and others 4 seats.

The elections for Jharkhand’s 81-seat Assembly were conducted in two phases on November 13 and 20. The state legislature’s term ends on January 5, 2025. Of the 81 seats, 44 are in the general category, 28 are reserved for Scheduled Tribes, and 9 for Scheduled Castes.

The final outcome of this high-stakes political battle between the NDA and the INDIA bloc will be revealed on November 23, when the votes are counted.